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Posted: 2020-07-05 04:41:21

Cormann was promoted into finance but the import of that move was largely drowned out by the noise surrounding the other issues.

Almost seven years on, the Belgian-born Finance Minister remains in the chair. Not one other member of the original Abbott cabinet is still in the post they took in 2013.

As the retired Christopher Pyne notes in his recent book, Cormann knows exactly where he sits in the political universe.

"Cormann understands his place in the solar system. He revels in being the hard-faced Minister for Finance who requires ministers and parliamentary secretaries to justify their spending," he wrote.

But seven years of budget discipline, of dealing with ministers wanting more cash while criss-crossing the continent to spend time with his wife Hayley and children Isabelle and Charlotte, takes a toll.

As Cormann said on Sunday: "There is a physical limit to how long you can do this job."

That has not been helped by events of the past 24 months.

Mathias Cormann with Malcolm Turnbull and Scott Morrison in August 2018.

Mathias Cormann with Malcolm Turnbull and Scott Morrison in August 2018.Credit:Alex Ellinghausen

His miscalculation of the numbers behind Peter Dutton to replace Malcolm Turnbull as prime minister hurt. Turnbull's book this year, in which he said Cormann had told him Scott Morrison was "emotional, narcissistic and untrustworthy", highlighted the enduring fallout from the 2018 leadership change.

Politics is a brutal and unforgiving profession but practitioners as good as Cormann are able to put their own spin on events. However, budget numbers are indifferent to political rhetoric.

Cormann had planned this year to record the first federal budget surplus since 2007-08. As a finance minister, there's not much more important than getting the books back into the shape.

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But the summer's fires and then the coronavirus pandemic destroyed that plan. Instead of a surplus of $5 billion for 2019-20, the government is likely to deliver a deficit of more than $90 billion.

For 2020-21 the situation is even more dire. The deficit, according to a growing number of experts, could pass a once unimaginable $200 billion, with debt on its way to $1 trillion.

For a finance minister looking to get back to surplus, this is like a mountain climber approaching the top of K2 only to be told they have to go back to the bottom of the Himalayas to start an assault on Everest. Without oxygen, without a tent, without a Sherpa.

Cormann leaves with several substantial successes, most prominently an overhaul of the GST that has delivered his home state an ongoing source of tax revenue in a deal (put together with Morrison when he was treasurer) that does not leave other states worse off.

The Abbott, Turnbull and Morrison governments would all have suffered more political defeats but for Cormann's negotiation skills in the Senate. The reduced rate of company tax paid by small and medium businesses, for instance, rests on Cormann's shoulders.

Senate estimates will miss a hard-nosed defender of the government's position who knew when to push back against a particular line of opposition attack – which was almost all the time.

His departure robs Morrison of a stable, considered adviser at a crucial time. The next few months, the next few years, are going to get tougher to negotiate.

Cormann, who learnt English when he moved to Western Australia in the mid-1990s, noted on occasions his accent and its similarity to Arnold Schwarzenegger's Terminator line of "I'll be back".

From the end of this year, the screen will fade to black on one of the most important political careers of the past decade.

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