A $1.3bn crash may look dramatic, but the real reason why housing foreign buyer approvals have plunged may shock you.
Latest Australian Treasury figures show that in the year to June 2024, approvals for foreigners to buy Australian homes fell to $6.6bn, a $1.3bn drop – with the biggest pullback coming from Chinese buyers.
But while Foreign Investment Review Board approvals may have fallen for Chinese buyers to $2.6bn for the year – or $800,000 less than the previous year – the devil is in the detail, with one of the biggest Sino-focused real estate agents saying “many” foreign buyers simply don’t need approval now.
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Plus Agency general manager Peter Li, who has put through more than $200m in annual homes sales, said “many buyers of foreign origin have gotten their Australian residency already”.
“They are no longer FIRB buyers but purchase and live here like any other resident or citizen,” he said.
Data shows the need for Chinese buyers to get approvals had almost halved percentage-wise since the pandemic, according to Mr Li.
“Three years ago, one out of five mainland Chinese purchasers we worked with had to go through the FIRB process, but now it’s only around 8 per cent of buyers.”
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This shift comes as Chinese real estate platform Juwai IQI co-founder Daniel Ho said there was a major shift underway with 98 per cent of Chinese buyers now purchasing for their own use.
“The offshore investor that was so common in 2014 to 2018 really no longer exists,” Mr Ho said.
Over the decade to June 2021, Chinese buyers had purchased $126.2bn worth of commercial and residential real estate, with the past three years seeing a further $8.4bn to buy homes.
Mr Ho said the move comes as the cost of buying as a foreigner with FIRB approval escalated with higher application fees and foreign buyer stamp duty.
“Remember that foreign buyers pay much more to purchase and to hold property in Australia than local residents and citizens. They have extra taxes, fees, and duties that local buyers don’t have to worry about,” he said.
“Even the interest rates they pay on their mortgages are higher because they can’t borrow from the big four banks. Their mortgages can carry interest rates that are more than two percentage points higher than the rates a local buyer might pay on their mortgage. On a million-dollar loan, a typical foreign buyer would have to pay at least $1,300 per month more than a local buyer.”
Mr Ho said those who didn’t take up residency were finding that “once they own the property, they find themselves paying high interest rates to the private lenders who finance their purchases, and, on top of that, land tax.”
“They have the wealth to purchase the property, but Chinese buyers in particular often need a mortgage because they sometimes can’t move money overseas quickly.”
Mr Li said mainland Chinese buyers generally prefer to buy within well-known Sino suburbs like Chatswood, Lindfield, and Burwood.
“These Chinese families are buying apartments for their children by putting down a small initial deposit. Then, they apply for their children to study here. By the time the kids arrive, they will have a place to live because the building will be complete.”
“Foreign buyers are shifting towards smaller apartments because that reduces the annual land tax they will have to pay until they become residents.”
Melbourne continues to be a strong target for mainland Chinese buyers especially, followed by Sydney, Perth, Brisbane and Adelaide, with the median purchase at $730,000.
The fourth quarter of 2023-24 saw the number of approved housing investments by foreigners fall to 1,199 (down from 1,428 in prior quarter) – with a massive 22 per cent plunge in the value of purchases to $1.4bn (down from $1.8bn).