But it’s tricky trying to get a confident guide to Duchess Of Lennox’s wet-track credentials.
She’s seen a soft track twice for a win and second, but they were both soft 5 and hardly considered a wet surface.
Her pedigree doesn’t help a whole lot either. Her sire, Reliable Man, was a soft track winner in Europe, so that’s promising, but her dam, Dunbarton, was unraced.
What we do know about Duchess Of Lennox is she’s a talented mare with a dynamic turn of foot meeting horses that, with one or two exceptions, are largely at their level.
Punter’s Intelligence sectional data shows she was able to clock the fastest last 600m of 34.36 seconds while never being able to stretch out, which illustrates what’s under this mare’s hood. If she does handle the conditions, it’ll take a good performance – or more bad luck – to topple her.
If there’s a longshot worth considering at the Farm, it’s another mare from the Waller-James McDonald pairing called High Low Bet, and she’s no query at all in the wet.
She loves it, and the last time she struck heavy ground she cruised away with a 1300m event at Warwick Farm in July.
Her past three starts have all been on good ground, and she’s just not as effective at city level when it’s dry, so mark her last-start sixth behind the smart Subpeonaed as at least a pass.
She’s double-figure odds in the TAB Handicap (1300m) and that seems generous. She’s certainly an each-way hope.









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